In a strategic shift, private equity (PE) investors armed with billions of dollars are turning their gaze towards South East Asia (SEA)’s burgeoning sectors, particularly in healthcare and technology. This renewed interest comes on the heels of a slump in investments and deal flows to a 5-year low in 2023, sparking anticipation of a resurgence in deal-making activity in the region.
SEA as Rising Star
The allure of SEA lies in its growing population, rising affluence, and supportive regulatory landscape which have captured the attention of global financial heavyweights. Each country in the region boasts unique attributes, yet, they share common long-term growth drivers, including but not limited to favourable demographic trends characterized by a large, young, and expanding population along with rapid urbanization, technological innovation and a mushrooming middle class.
Countries like Singapore, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines, collectively hosting a population of around 530 million people, stand to benefit significantly from these factors, and presenting attractive investment opportunities for discerning investors.
What’s Moving the Market?
A joint report by financial data company, Mergermarket, anticipates a substantial uptick in deal-making activity in Asia for 2024. Competitive valuations coupled with relatively lenient regulatory environments are poised to drive this surge in investment. Notably, artificial intelligence has emerged as a prime target for dealmakers with more than half of large PE firms expressing interest in acquiring such businesses.
Furthermore, the anticipated reduction in interest rates for 2024 is expected to create a more stable funding environment, facilitating smoother execution and planning for dealmakers. While experts do not foresee a repetition of the market surge observed in late 2020 or the record-breaking year of 2021, they remain cautious optimism within the industry.
SEA, particularly Vietnam and the Philippines, is witnessing a notable influx of interest from leading alternative investment managers. Key drivers for deals in the region are expected to centre around healthcare, infrastructure, and the consumer sector.
Despite a dip in PE investment activity in Asia-Pacific, excluding Japan, in 2023, attributed to rising interest rates and subdued activity in China, a stronger deal pipeline is beginning to materialize in the region. An estimated US$486 billion of private capital stands ready for deployment, hinting at a resurgence in investment activity across sectors such as digital technology, financial services, infrastructure, and retail.
Here’s a survey done by Norton Rose Fulbright and Mergetmarket, and the result showed that technology remains the top M&A choices followed by life sciences and healthcare, industrials and natural resources. In this survey, some 200 leaders and top-level executives were asked in the Q4 of 2023 about the top 3 sectors they believe will see the highest growth in inbound cross-border M&A activity in 2024 compared with 2023.
The Takeaway
As PE firms pivot towards seizing opportunities in SEA’s promising sectors, the stage is set for a dynamic resurgence in deal-making activity, driven by a convergence of favourable market conditions and a compelling investment landscape in the region.
With a growing population, increasing affluence, and supportive regulatory policies, countries like Singapore, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines offer attractive investment opportunities driven by favourable demographic trends and technological disruption.
Despite challenges such as rising interest rates and subdued activity in certain markets, the region presents a compelling landscape for investors seeking to capitalize on emerging trends and growth prospects. As opportunities continue to unfold, astute investors are poised to seize the moment and unlock the potential of South-east Asia’s dynamic markets.